A Delphi Method approach for the Chinese antique jade appraisal

158941582533537295According to RAND, “RAND developed the Delphi method in the 1950s, originally to forecast the impact of technology on warfare. The method entails a group of experts who anonymously reply to questionnaires and subsequently receive feedback in the form of a statistical representation of the “group response,” after which the process repeats itself. The goal is to reduce the range of responses and arrive at something closer to expert consensus. The Delphi Method has been widely adopted and is still in use today.”158946893777011458

We may establish scales for each factor, including rareness, historical and cultural significance, quality of jade, workmanship, size in the range index of 1 to 10 to reach weighted average (It should be noted that the indexes of historical and cultural significance and rareness should overwrite the other indexes). The questionnaire will be sent to various experts.  To assign each index a monetary value, we may reach an appraisal value .

德尔菲法(Delphi method)是一种结构化的决策支持技术,它的目的是在信息收集过程中,通IMG_2633-300x243过多位专家的独立的反复主观判断,获得相对客观的信息、意见和见解。



You are invited to join the expert team. Please email me: palaceantique@gmail.com